San Diego State Aztecs at Wyoming Cowboys – Preview, Betting Line, TV, Rushing Yards, Title Hopes

San Diego State (9-1, 6-0 MWC) at Wyoming (7-3, 5-1 MWC)

  • Start Time: 3:30 PM EST
  • Location: War Memorial Stadium, Laramie, WY
  • TV: CBSSN
  • Streaming: CBSSports.com
  • Weather: Partly cloudy with highs in the upper 40’s
  • Line: SDSU -10, O/U 57

San Diego State

The Aztecs continue to just plow through their conference schedule. SDSU has now allowed a whopping 42 points in six conference tilts, with Nevada last week being the first team to (just barely) surpass 13 points, which was largely irrelevant as the Aztecs cracked 40 points yet again.

San Diego State does what they do. They absolutely run the ball down your throat, they stop you from establishing the run, and then once you’re down and stuck passing the ball, they will absolutely light you up with the blitz. The only team they struggled to put away was Cal, which is kind of the only blueprint; have a quick enough offensive attack that you can keep the chains moving and keep them from successfully blitzing.

Nobody in the Mountain West does that except Boise, and the Aztecs won’t face them until the conference title game, if then.

 

Wyoming

So can we pretend that last week didn’t happen? Good lord.

I can’t say I’m surprised though. Wyoming struggled against Nebraska, who runs the ball well. They struggled against Nevada, who runs the ball well. They struggled against UNLV, who runs the ball well. UNLV was also the most explosive rushing attack the Cowboys had faced, and it showed in the final stat line of 400+ rushing yards across multiple overtimes.

Sure this was partly the Cowboys suffering the return of the immensely talented Kurt Palandech, but it was concerning to see a good-but-not-great run defense get blown off the line of scrimmage all night long. The offense was able to stay right in step for nearly the entire way, which is a testament in and of itself, but it felt like wasted performances by Josh Allen and Brian Hill.

The Cowboys conference title hopes can’t afford another loss after Boise’s victory last night, so they better hope this issue is merely temporary

Prediction:

 

This is definitely one of the best offenses that San Diego State has seen all season, so I don’t expect the Wyoming offense to get shut down completely. That said, SDSU’s rush offense is good enough and the Pokes rush defense is bad enough that Wyoming might need all that offensive firepower just to play catch-up all night like they did last week.

Problem is, SDSU’s defense is much better than UNLV’s, so a shootout is extremely unlikely. I think SDSU will wind up playing spoiler to Wyoming’s division and conference title hopes.

San Diego State 38, Wyoming 24

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