Air Force Falcons (2-4, 1-2) at Nevada Wolf Pack (1-6, 1-2)
Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada
Time: 6:30 PT
TV/Radio: CBSSN, TuneIn Radio
Line: AFA -7, O/U=68
The Falcons are coming off a huge comeback win over one Nevada team and now are aiming to dominate another. Arion Worthman took it to the Rebels last week, with five rushing touchdowns all in the second half. The man single-handedly led Air Force’s comeback and possibly saved their season. Nevada is supposedly better at rush defense than UNLV, which isn’t saying much. They rank 91st in the country, giving up 167.0 YPG. This is still not good enough to slow down the triple-option, therefore the Wolf Pack will have to rely on their offense.
Ty Gangi isn’t horrible anymore! He’s connected well with freshman McLane Mannix (who is not Manx) and the two have started becoming a feared threat around the MWC. They gave Colorado State a run for their money last week and with them leading the offense, the Wolf Pack could have 1-2 more wins this year.
Except, Friday will not be one of those wins for Nevada. Expect the Falcons’ triple option to wear down the defense, slowly forcing the Wolf Pack to go one-dimensional in the second half.
Prediction: Air Force 35, Nevada 21
Colorado State Rams(5-2, 3-0) at New Mexico Lobos (3-3, 1-2)
Location: Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
Time: 7:15 PT
TV/Radio: ESPN2, TuneIn Radio
Line: CSU -7, O/U=58.5
What is New Mexico? After losing badly to Fresno State last week, the Lobos are running out of opportunities for wins to make a bowl game. Now the big, bad Rams come to town with possibly the scariest offense in the Mountain West. Bob Davie and company have to fix the defense fast otherwise Nick Stevens might end up having a career day.
Speaking of Nick Stevens, the man already has 2255 yds passing, 18 TDs, and 2 INTs. He should be able to hit the 4000-yard mark easy, and Michael Gallup has been a big part of that. Gallup racked up 263 of Stevens’ 384 passing yards last week, and throw Dalyn Dawkins 224 rushing yards into the mix, and the three of them kept Nevada out of the win column last week. All three players should perform as well if not better versus New Mexico, and this game should be a comfortable win, as long as the defense doesn’t break against the Lobos’ heavy run option.
Since the football gods were appeased last week with the sacrifices that occurred, there should be absolutely no chance of an upset. Colorado State should smear UNM’s defense with points.
Prediction: Colorado State 45, New Mexico 17