Lafayette Leopards (3-6) vs. Army Black Knights (7-2)
- Start Time: 12:00 PM EST
- Location: Michie Stadium, West Point, NY
- Line: Army -47
- FPI: Army 99.6%
- O/U: N/A
- Series: Army 18-1, Army 62-7 in 2016
The Leopards sit at a struggling 3-6. Lafayette has beaten Central Connecticut State (5-4) 31-24, Bucknell (1-8) 29-27, and Fordham (1-8) 21-13. They have played some teams tough, but those teams are also not very good. Also important to note that the Leopards are yet to play an FBS opponent this season.
It is safe to say Lafayette’s offense is not good. The Leopards score 14.2 points per game, have been held under 15 points in 5 of 9 games, and have not put up 30 points on anyone.
The signal caller, Sean O’Malley, has a 3-11 TD-INT ratio. O’Malley throws a decent 54.6% on the season. The Lafayette QB also throws for 5.3 yards per attempt, for 1,500 yards, on about 31 pass attempts per game. Other than the turnovers, O’Malley is a statistically sound QB. He isn’t an explosive QB, which considering what Hawaii’s Cole McDonald did (321 yards), is a plus for the Black Knights secondary.
The leading rusher for Lafayette is Senior C.J. Amill who stands at 5’9″ 180 pounds. Amill has 336 yards on the season, but only gets the ball 8 times per game. Only once has the senior gotten the ball more than 10 times in one game, and that came against Fordham (25 carries for 133 yards and a score). Amill averages 4.6 yards per carry, which is average number in college football.
Keep in mind all stats are coming against FCS opponents, which are not at the level of play as the Army defense
Army and Lafayette have no common opponents this season, but last years Army team beat Fordham 64-6, who this years Lafayette team beat 21-13.
Army has a chance to defend the home win streak, which currently sits at 11. Army has a chance to win their 6th straight game (have not lost since OT heartbreaker at 6th ranked Oklahoma). Army has won 11 straight game vs FCS opponents, and also looks to continue that streak. Army has beaten Lafayette 17 straight times, and can make that 18 tomorrow. Lots of streaks for the Black Knights to continue this saturday.
The offense holds the ball for 40 minutes per game. The offense puts up nearly 400 yards per game. The offense runs for 306 yards per game. The big highlight in the midst of all this is the fact we can (somewhat, but very much so for Army standards) pass the football now. Army has thrown for 775 yards this season, after throwing for 361 all of last season. This is mainly because of QB Kelvin Hopkins Jr., who has done a fantastic job under center thus far.
The defense for Army is lead by absolute studs, including some getting national recognition. Kenneth Brinson has 19 tackles and 3 sacks on the season. James Nachtigal has 59 tackles and 5 sacks. Cole Christiansen has 53 tackles and 1 sack. James Gibson has 24 tackles and 2 sacks (only 8 games). All 4 of these guys are leaders, and playmakers for this stingy Black Knights defense.
Army has potential to play with a lot of teams, and they have proven to do so on the road at night vs a Top 6 team in the nation in Oklahoma.
This game may get ugly. Lafayette offense is not very good, and their defense the same, and thats at the FCS level.
If Army plays decent Army football, the Black Knights should handle the Leopards easily. I would be genuinely shocked if Lafayette can hang around for very long.
Lafayette has not played a triple option team yet this season, and I don’t expect them to be ready for it either, or at least at the level Army runs it.
Army 63-Lafayette 3